Tropical Storm Melissa Grows Stronger As It Heads In the Direction of the Island Nation
Tropical Storm the storm is forecast to become a rare highest-level storm as it turns towards the Caribbean island, bringing deadly rapid inundation and mudslides.
The hurricane, which had wind speeds of up to 195 km/h as of 6:00 AM GMT, is currently turning northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is projected to reach land by early next week, based on data from weather experts.
Warnings of electricity outages and structural damage have been announced as the hurricane generates up to thirty inches of precipitation and coastal flooding as high as 13ft above normal levels. "Find safe refuge immediately," inhabitants have been advised.
Melissa is the thirteenth hurricane in this year's Atlantic storm period, which typically ends in November.
Category Five Cyclone Danger
A Category 5 storm is the most intense classification, with wind speeds of at least 157 miles per hour.
While the hurricane is expected to diminish in strength to a fourth-level hurricane before reaching the island, authorities said there was "minimal real distinction in the total effects" upon landfall, and that the storm will be "just as powerful" when it hits the island.
Immediate Safety Steps
With storm-force winds and rain already expected long before it passes over central Jamaica - perhaps encompassing the city of Kingston - warnings indicate that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and torrential rain have begun and will cause severe and deadly flash flooding and numerous mudslides," advised weather authorities.
The nation's leader the statesman commented: "I understand that there are many Jamaicans who are worried, who are very concerned, and appropriately: you should be concerned.
"However the most effective method to handle nervousness and any nervousness and concern is to remain prepared."
Locals are being told to secure their homes with sandbags and plywood sheets, and to stock up on necessary supplies.
Broader Effects
Alerts are also active for areas in Haiti such as the main city, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and the eastern part of Cuba, where Melissa is anticipated to bring similar effects by the middle of next week.
Landslides currently triggered by the cyclone have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to emergency services.
Future Trajectory
Melissa is forecast to cross the island nation by the middle of the week before traveling via the Greater Antilles and emerging into the open ocean.
By the time it reaches the Caribbean nation, it is predicted to have weakened to a third-level cyclone.
Environmental Background
Although it is hard to connect individual weather events to climate change, researchers say it is causing meteorological events increasingly frequent and more intense.
Higher ocean heat create additional humidity in the environment, aiding in the formation of tropical cyclones.
Before the start of the current Atlantic hurricane season, climate agencies forecast above-normal activity, citing heated marine conditions and potential more intense weather patterns around African coastal regions - where hurricanes typically originate.